The high price of oil has blocked the West's economic escape route
20.05.12
When the Western world has previously hit the economic skids, the resulting
fall in global oil demand has caused crude prices to fall too. As such, the
West has benefited from a "self-correction" mechanism, our own
economic slowdown creating the lower oil prices that, in turn, have assisted
our recovery.
During previous slowdowns, lower fuel costs have boosted the profitability of
Western firms. Reduced inflationary pressures have provided our central
banks with the room to cut interest rates. So cheaper oil has helped the
West climb out of periodic economic slumps. Yet this vital mechanism is now
broken.
Oil prices averaged $111 a barrel during 2011, up from $79 in 2010. Crude
prices could stay at similarly elevated levels this year. Sky-high oil, it
seems, is now compatible with Western recession. Commodity prices are
compounding our economic woes, rather than helping us escape them.
What's changed recently is that even if the big Western economies remain
sluggish, and our oil use falls slightly, the fast-growing markets of the
East retain their insatiable appetite for crude.
Source: Telegraph.co.uk